Corbin Burnes: How he is changing what it means to be an effective starter.

Corbin Burnes was the first pitcher since Felix Hernandez in 2010 to break the mold of what a Cy Young award winner is. For decades Cy Young’s were determined by Win-Loss record, Innings Pitched, and the success of the pitchers team. There were many instances where the best pitcher by all meaningful statistics such as WAR, FIP, xERA, and SIERA, and even simply ERA, was passed by in favor of a pitcher who won a large number of games and team finished higher in the standings. In 2010, King Felix won the Cy Young finishing with a 13-12 Win-Loss record on a brutal Seattle Mariners team. He led the majors in ERA and WAR, but also in classic counting stats such as starts, innings pitched, and batters faced. But since then the game has changed immensely. Pitchers are often pulled early in games if they show even the smallest sign of struggle. Managers who favor analytics, such as Kevin Cash of the Tampa Bay Rays, have started to pull starting pitcher before their third time through the order. Brewers manager Craig Counsell utilized a 6-man rotation and an elite bullpen to protect starters. This led to great success from Burnes, Brandon Woodruff, and Freddy Peralta, as well as the middle reliever who picked up 12 wins, Brent Suter. If this was a bygone era, Zach Wheeler probably would have been named the Cy Young winner. On a weak Phillies pitching staff, who were historically inconsistent in the bullpen, Wheeler was often used like a pitcher of old. He went deep into games in most of his 32 starts and even had 3 complete games, which led both leagues. Burnes only started 28 games, and accumulated 167 innings pitched. But his 167 innings were definitely better than anyone else’s. He led the league in ERA, ERA+ (park and era adjusted ERA stat), FIP (measures pitchers ability to limit walks, HRS, HBP’s, and strike batters out), SO/9, HR/9, and SO/W rates. He was dominant on a great pitching staff that carried a weak Brewers offense to the playoffs, and they lost to the eventual champion Braves in 4 games in the NLDS. Burnes pitched 6 shutout innings in Game 1, the only game Milwaukee won. Ultimately Burnes deserved this award, pitching the best season by most advanced and even some standard statistics. He has changed the way the BBWAA will see award voting from now on, changing the game even further.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *